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Liu Qi Feng Jing Zhou Jinglun(National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073)
Online:
Abstract: How to acquire proper prior distribution is a key problem in complex system Bayesian reliability evaluation. In this paper, the application of expert's information in prior distribution fusion is studied. Based on AHP and synthesis factor methods, the weight factor calculation method is presented. Finally with the fused prior distribution, the posterior distribution is analyzed.
Liu Qi Feng Jing Zhou Jinglun(National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073). The Fusion Method for Prior Distribution Based on Expert's Information[J]. .
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URL: http://journal26.magtechjournal.com/kjkxjs/EN/
http://journal26.magtechjournal.com/kjkxjs/EN/Y2004/V24/I03/