关键词: 温度实测点, 快速热变形分析, 统计方法, 普通克里格法, 变差函数, 有限元, 卫星

Abstract: Tocalibratetheorientationpositionofthesatelliteorbitbythetemperaturesensors，theordinaryKrigingmethodwidelyusedingeo-statisticswasappliedintothetemperatureestimationprocessofthesatellite.Arapidthermaldeformationanalysismethodwasdevelopedbasedonthestatisticmethods.Basedonasmallamountoftemperaturesensors，estimationofthetemperaturefieldwascarriedout.Then，thetemperaturefieldwasusedforthefiniteelementanalysistoaccomplishthethermaldeformationanalysis.Differencesbetweentheanalyticalandtheexperimentalresultsofthedeformationofthepayloadarearound1′，whichconfirmsthatthemethodcanbeusedtoobtainthevariationofopticalaxisofthepayload.Furthermore，comparedtothethermophysicalmethod，theworkperiodcanbereducedbyseveraldays.Thisworkprovidesguidanceforrapidthermaldeformationanalysisofon-orbitsatellites.

Key words: temperaturemeasuringpoints, rapidthermaldeformationanalysis, statisticmethod, ordinaryKriging, variogram, finiteelement, satellite