中国空间科学技术 ›› 2026, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (3): 108-118.doi: 10.16708/j.cnki.1000-758X.2026.0040

• 《中国空间科学技术(中英文)》创刊45周年专刊 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于多参量耦合分布偏离的卫星关键部件健康评估方法

惠永超1,程月华1,姜斌1,*,李志强2,许宇航1   

  1. 1.南京航空航天大学自动化学院,南京211106
    2.中国空间技术研究院,北京100094
  • 收稿日期:2025-12-02 修回日期:2026-01-18 录用日期:2026-01-30 发布日期:2026-05-21 出版日期:2026-05-31

Health assessment of satellite critical components via multivariate coupled-distribution deviation

HUI Yongchao1,CHENG Yuehua1,JIANG Bin1,*,Li Zhiqiang2,Xu Yuhang1   

  1. 1.College of Automation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China
    2.China Academy of Space Technology, Beijing 100094, China
  • Received:2025-12-02 Revision received:2026-01-18 Accepted:2026-01-30 Online:2026-05-21 Published:2026-05-31

摘要: 卫星关键部件健康评估是保障在轨运行可靠性并支撑任务规划的重要环节。由于部件性能衰退过程通常由多维参量共同表征,且参量间存在耦合关系与协同变化。单一参量难以全面反映状态演化过程,而当前多参量融合方法多依赖专家经验或加权融合,难以刻画多参量间关联结构随退化演化的动态变化。为此,提出一种基于多参量耦合分布偏离的关键部件健康评估方法。首先,构建多参量联合分布偏离程度指标(Multivariate Distribution Deviation, MDD),引入Sliced Wasserstein距离对高维分布偏离进行高效量化。该方法从边际统计变化与耦合结构重构两个维度刻画退化过程,克服了传统Wasserstein距离在高维样本下的计算瓶颈。其次,提出退化动量(Degradation Momentum, DM)指标,通过累积联合分布偏移速率的正向增量,量化状态偏离程度与退化趋势强度,表征退化的持续性与加速性。进一步,将MDD与DM组合构建二维状态特征空间,并采用谱聚类对该空间进行自适应等级划分,实现全寿命健康状态的连续跟踪与阶段识别。基于真实动量轮与陀螺仪数据的验证表明,所提方法能够有效捕捉退化早期微弱变化、识别状态演化过程,并实现稳健、可解释的健康状态评估,为卫星部件健康管理提供了一种兼具理论意义与工程可实施性的多参量评估策略。

关键词: 卫星部件, 健康评估, 联合分布偏离, Sliced Wasserstein距离, 退化动量, 谱聚类

Abstract: Health assessment of satellite key components is essential for ensuring on-orbit reliability and supporting mission planning. Performance degradation often involves several parameters that change together and show coupled dynamics. A single parameter fails to capture the full evolution of the state, while existing fusion methods rely on expert weighting and cannot represent the dynamic shift in inter-parameter dependence. This study proposed a health assessment method based on coupled deviations in multivariate distributions. We first built a Multivariate Distribution Deviation (MDD) metric and used the Sliced Wasserstein distance to quantify high-dimensional distribution shifts efficiently. The metric captured degradation from two views: marginal variation and coupling-structure change, and avoided the computational burden of the classical Wasserstein distance in high dimensions. We then introduced a Degradation Momentum (DM) metric that accumulated positive increments in distribution-shift rates to describe deviation magnitude and trend strength. MDD and DM jointly formed a two-dimensional state-feature space. Spectral clustering on this space achieved adaptive grading and continuous tracking over the full life cycle. Validation on real data from momentum wheels and gyroscopes showed that the method detected weak early-stage changes, revealed the state-evolution process, and produced stable and interpretable assessments. The approach provides a theoretically sound and practically deployable multivariate strategy for health management of satellite components.

Key words: satellite components, health assessment, joint-distribution deviation, Sliced Wasserstein distance, degradation momentum, spectral clustering